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California Poised to Slash Greenhouse Gas Emissions From Vehicles

SACRAMENTO, California, June 16, 2004 (ENS) - Greenhouse gases emitted by passenger cars and light trucks would be reduced 30 percent in 10 years under a draft proposal released Monday by the California Air Resources Board (ARB). The proposed regulation would implement state legislation passed in 2002 to cut greenhouse gas emissions, which are responsible for global warming.

If the proposal is adopted, California would be the first state in the nation requiring automobile manufacturers to make cars that emit fewer global warming pollutants.

"The proposal protects public health and conforms to the language and spirit of [the legislation], which requires the ARB to limit emissions from California passenger cars that contribute to global warming," said ARB Executive Officer Catherine Witherspoon.

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Traffic on the Harbor Freeway in Los Angeles, California (Photo courtesy CalTrans)
Transportation is California's largest source of carbon dioxide, with passenger vehicles and light duty trucks creating more than 30 percent of total climate change emissions. Due to advances in vehicle technology, it is now possible to reduce such emissions without sacrificing performance or other desirable vehicle attributes.

The ARB staff proposal identifies methods that can be used by automakers to improve the performance of car engines, transmissions and drivetrains to reduce greenhouse gas emissions to the maximum extent possible.

It analyzes a series of technology packages that automakers could use to reduce those gases and finds that automakers can reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 23 percent by 2011, and up to 30 percent by 2014, across the vehicle fleets.

Environmentalists say California's new pollution standards could have a ripple effect throughout the country. California is the only state authorized under the federal Clean Air Act to set its own pollution standards. Other states must comply with federal standards unless they choose to adopt California standards, which are usually stricter.

In practice, several states, particularly in the Northeast, have chosen California's pollution standards to clean up their air.

"Once again, California is paving the way for cleaner, better cars," said Roland Hwang a policy analyst and vehicle technology expert with the Natural Resources Defense Council. "The proposed new global warming standard is part of a long tradition of finding innovative solutions to air pollution problems."

The Alliance of Automobile Manufacturers fought the legislation, maintaining that it would greatly increase the costs of owning and driving vehicles in California.

The trade association of nine car and light truck manufacturers - BMW Group, DaimlerChrysler, Ford Motor Company, General Motors, Mazda, Mitsubishi Motors, Porsche, Toyota and Volkswagen - says that California cars may become smaller, lighter and less powerful, and some of the best-selling models may be banned for sale in California as a result of this legislation.

In response to these objections, the ARB staff analyzed how the proposed climate change regulation may impact the California economy. Their report anticipates higher prices for new vehivles but lower operating costs once those vehicles are on the road.

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On the freeway approaching Los Angeles (Photo courtesy Ryan Gebman)
The steps that manufacturers take to comply with the regulatory standards are expected to increase the prices of new vehicles, the ARB staff found, and their report acknowledges that the vehicle price increase will be borne by purchasers and may negatively affect businesses.

But the ARB staff says that many of the technological options that manufacturers will choose to comply with the regulation are expected to reduce vehicle operating costs, positively affecting consumers and most businesses.

The measure is "simply too extreme for California," the automakers objected. "It would hurt low income Californians the worst, because it would dramatically increase the costs of driving for everyone regardless of income."

The balance of higher vehicle prices but lower operating costs will be the same for low income California residents as for those with higher incomes, says the staff, which worked with community leaders involved with environmental justice as well as with environmental and public health organizations to determine the potential effect of the regulation.

The net effect of the regulation on the economy is expected to be "small but positive," and the ARB staff predicts "no significant adverse impact on the state's economy."

"There will not be any impacts on the ability of California business to compete with businesses in other states, and state and local agencies will not be adversely impacted," the staff says. In fact, they are likely to realize a net reduction in their cost of fleet operations.

Vehicle climate change emissions consist of four main elements:

  • Carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O) emissions resulting directly from operation of the vehicle
  • CO2 emissions resulting from operating the air conditioning system
  • refrigerant emissions from the air conditioning system due to either leakage, losses during recharging, or release from scrappage of the vehicle at end of life
  • upstream emissions associated with the production of the fuel used by the vehicle The climate change emission standard incorporates all of these elements.

    The Air Resources Board staff estimates the average costs of technology packages for the regulation's first phase, scheduled for model years 2009 through 2011, range from $241 per vehicle for light duty passenger cars to $326 for big pickups and sport utility vehicles.

    Average costs for the rule's second phase for model years between 2012 and 2014 are expected to be $539 for light duty passenger cars to $851 for heavier vehicles.

    Staff decided to incorporate the CO2 equivalent emission standards into the current low emission vehicle (LEV) program along with the other light and medium duty automotive emission standards.

    That means there would be a CO2 equivalent fleet average emission requirement for the passenger car/light-duty truck 1 category and another for the light-duty truck 2 category, just as there are fleet average emission requirements for criteria pollutants for both categories of vehicles in the LEV program, the staff explained in its proposal.

    cars

    Zero emission fuel cell cars at the California Fuel Cell Partnership in Sacramento(Photo by Leslie Eudy courtesy NREL)
    The proposed regulation will reduce climate change emissions by an estimated 85,900 CO2 equivalent tons per day statewide in 2020 and by 143,300 CO2 equivalent tons per day in 2030, the staff calculates.

    This translates into a 17 percent overall reduction in climate changes emissions from the light duty fleet in 2020 and a 25 percent overall reduction in 2030.

    Baseline emissions today are 386,600 CO2 equivalent tons per day. With the regulation, emissions in the year 2020 will be lower than today’s, but by 2030 they will be approximately the same, the proposal estimates.

    The draft proposal will be available for public comment until July 7. After that date, ARB staff will revise the proposal to take into account comments submitted by the public. The final staff proposal will be released in early August.

    Read the ARB proposal at: http://www.arb.ca.gov/cc/factsheets/cc_isor.pdf

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