2005 Was the Second Warmest Year on Record
GENEVA, Switzerland, December 24, 2005 (ENS) - New data from meterologists around the world shows that 2005 is currently the second warmest year on record and is likely to be among the warmest four years in the temperature record since 1861, but the World Meteorological Organization says official figures will not be released until February.
The global mean surface temperature in 2005 is currently estimated to be +0.48 degrees Celsius above the 1961-1990 annual average of 14 degrees C, according to the records maintained by members of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO).
The year 1998 remains the warmest year on record, with optimum averaged surface temperatures averaging +0.54 degrees C above the same 30 year mean.
Globally, October 2005 was the warmest October on record, surpassing that of last year and June 2005 was the warmest June, surpassing that of 1998.
Much of the North Atlantic and tropical Indian Ocean were also significantly warm, along with the Gulf of Alaska. Sea-surface temperatures in the North Atlantic in 2005 are likely to be the warmest on record.
The large-scale climate phenomenon El Niño can contribute to above-average warmth, as was the case with extremely strong 1997/1998 episode. But the weak El Niño conditions in the equatorial Pacific Ocean that developed in 2004, faded quickly to near-neutral conditions by March 2005 and little impact on global temperatures occurred, the WMO said.
Since the start of the 20th century, the global average surface temperature has risen between 0.6 degrees C and 0.7 degrees C. But this rise has not been continuous. Since 1976, the global average temperature has risen sharply, at 0.18oC per decade.
2005 Was a Scorcher
For Australia, preliminary data indicate that 2005 will be the hottest year since records commenced in 1910, with around 97 percent of the continent experiencing above-average mean temperatures. During the January-May period, the hottest maximum temperatures on record exacerbated the exceptionally dry conditions. Nationwide temperatures during the first five months of the year were 1.75 degrees C above normal, surpassing the previous record by a substantial 0.57 degrees C.
In India, Pakistan and Bangladesh, extremely harsh heat waves in May and June brought maximum temperatures of between 45 degrees C and 50 degrees C. The delayed south-west monsoon rains allowed the heatwave to persist into June, claiming at least 400 lives in India.
In China, the 2005 summer seasonal temperature was one of the warmest since 1951.
Severe heat wave conditions also affected much of southern Europe and North Africa during July.
In Algeria, the heatwave in July pushed temperatures as high as 50 degrees C. Extremely cold temperatures affected much of the Balkan region during the first half of February. In Morocco, a cold wave in January dropped temperatures as low as –14 degrees C.
Long-term drought continued in parts of the Greater Horn of Africa, including southern Somalia, eastern Kenya, southeastern Ethiopia, northeastern Tanzania and Djibouti. The rainy season March-June brought below-normal precipitation over this region. Sporadic rainfall during the 2004/05 rainy season caused serious shortfalls in the cereal harvest in Zimbabwe, Malawi, Angola and Mozambique. At least five million people in Malawi were threatened with hunger arising from the worst drought in a decade.
Drought conditions affected much of western Europe during July, August and September. During the period October 2004 to June 2005, rainfall was less than half the normal in areas of the United Kingdom, France, Spain and Portugal. In France, western parts were most acutely affected. Neighboring Spain and Portugal experienced the worst drought conditions since the late 1940s and the dry conditions aggravated wildfires.
The period January to May 2005 was exceptionally dry for much of Australia with 44 per cent of the continent experiencing rainfall in the lowest 10 per cent of the recorded totals. During this period, Australia received an average of only 168 mm of rainfall, the second lowest January - May total since records commenced in 1900.
Across the United States, moderate-to-severe drought persisted throughout parts of the Pacific Northwest eastward into the northern Rocky Mountains. At the end of winter, moderate to extreme drought affected 72 percent of the Pacific Northwest.
Below normal rainfall since December 2004 caused severe drought conditions over southern parts of Brazil, where corn and soybean crops were severely damaged. In Brazil, the southernmost state of Rio Grande do Sul, which is one of Brazil’s most prolific agricultural states, was the worst affected. The state of Amazonas experienced the worst drought in nearly 60 years, resulting in record low water levels in the Amazon River.
Pounding Rains and Floods
The southwest monsoon during June-September brought unprecedented heavy rain and widespread flooding to parts of western and southern India, affecting more than 20 million people and resulting in more than 1800 deaths.
Heavy rains in October caused disastrous flooding also in northern Bangladesh and in Vietnam. During the third week of June, consecutive heavy rainstorms in parts of southern China killed at least 170 people and affected about 21 million. During early and middle July, heavy rainstorms affected the upper reaches of the Huaihe River Basin.
Persistent heavy rains during the period May-August led to destructive flooding in eastern Europe, particularly in Romania, Bulgaria and Hungary, causing damage to property, infrastructure and agriculture. Torrential rainfall in mid-August also flooded sections of Switzerland, Austria and southern Germany and the Czech Republic. The hardest hit area was Romania where 66 flood-related fatalities and losses of at least US$1.9 million in damage were reported.
During April and May, floods and landslides were widespread in southern parts of Russia, affecting more than 4,000 people.
An onslaught of winter storms in early January brought exceptionally heavy rain, snow and flooding to the south-western United States. Los Angeles (California) had its second wettest rain fall season on record. During January, a major winter snowstorm, affected areas of the north- eastern United States with more than 30 cm of snow accumulation. Record rainfall occurred in the northeastern United States in the autumn of 2005, with three storm systems affecting the region in October.
Heavy flooding from rain also created huge economic losses across Canada. In June, three major rain events in southern Alberta produced the costliest natural disaster in the province’s history. Across Canada, 2005 was the wettest year on record.
In New Zealand, the Bay of Plenty floods in May were phenomenal with unprecedented heavy rains, which caused widespread damage in parts of Tauranga. Heavy rains affected drought-stricken areas of eastern Australia from mid to late June, producing flooding across southeast Queensland and the far north of New South Wales.
Heavy rains in January and February caused massive flooding in Guyana’s capital, Georgetown, and surrounding areas affecting more than 290,000 people. In February, at least two weeks of heavy rainfall in Colombia and Venezuela caused river flooding and landslides that resulted in the deaths of at least 80 people.
Cold weather and heavy snowfall that began in January continued in February over southwest Asia, causing avalanches. In parts of Tajikistan, two meters of snow accumulated in two weeks.
During February, sections of northern Pakistan and neighboring areas of northern India received heavy snowfall, described as the worst in two decades. In India, at least 230 people died as a result of the extreme winter weather. In Pakistan’s north-west province, 360 deaths in February were attributed to flooding, landslides and avalanches. Heavy rains during March also caused flooding in parts of western Pakistan and Afghanistan, resulting in more than 200 fatalities.
Record Number of Deadly Hurricanes
The 2005 Atlantic Hurricane season brought an unprecedented 26 named tropical storms that caused devastating losses across Central America, the Caribbean and the United States. Fourteen of the named storms were hurricanes. Seven of those were major hurricanes, reaching winds of Category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson scale. On average, 10 named storms develop in the Atlantic Basin, six of which are hurricanes.
The 2005 hurricane season broke the previous record for the most named storms (21 storms in 1933) and for the most hurricanes (12 in 1969).
Seven storms including four hurricanes made landfall in the United States. Hurricane Katrina was the deadliest hurricane to affect the United States since 1928. The storm killed at least 1,300 people, mostly in the southern states of Louisiana and Mississippi and produced widespread devastation along the central Gulf coast. Hurricane Wilma was the most intense Atlantic Hurricane ever recorded.
Conversely, in the eastern North Pacific, activity was below average. Fifteen named storms developed during the year, compared to the average of 16 and there were fewer strong storms. Of those 15 storms, seven reached hurricane strength and two reached major status. In the Northwest Pacific, 23 named storms developed: the average number is 27. Thirteen of them reached typhoon intensity.
Typhoon Talim crossed southeastern China and caused serious damage, including at least 150 deaths. In early September, typhoon Nabi caused severe damage, and brought a record heavy precipitation of 1 321 mm in three days in western Japan. Typhoon Longwang, which caused flash floods, was responsible for at least 80 deaths in south-east China. Tropical cyclone Ingrid, which lasted from March 5 to 16, was the first cyclone recorded to reach intensity of Category 5 off three different Australian states - Queensland, Northern Territory, and Western Australia.
Greater Ozone Depletion in the Antarctic and Arctic
This year, the size of the Antarctic ozone hole was close to 2003 values and well above the 1995-2004 average. The maximum size of the Antarctic ozone hole, 24.4 million km2, was reached in the third week of September. The ozone hole in 2005 dissipated earlier than usual, in mid-November.
Based on satellite observations, the ozone hole of 2005 ranks as the third largest ever recorded after 2000 and 2003. This year, greater ozone depletion took place in the Arctic. During the spring of 2005, in large portions of the Arctic region, average values of total ozone were 30-45 per cent lower than comparable values during the early 1980s.
Arctic Sea-Ice Decline Intensifies
Typically, September is the month with the least sea-ice extent in the Arctic. By the end of September 2005, Arctic sea-ice extent dropped far below the average for the fourth consecutive year. It was about 20 percent less than the 1979-2004 average, the lowest extent ever observed during the satellite record since 1979.
Satellite information suggests a general decline of eight percent in end-of-September Arctic sea-ice extent over the last two and a half decades.
Warmer-than-average Arctic temperatures and an early arrival of the sea-ice melt season are the main causes for the intensification of sea-ice decline in 2005.
This preliminary information for 2005 is based on observations up to the end of November from networks of land-based weather stations, ships and buoys. The data are collected and disseminated on a continuing basis by the National Meteorological and Hydrological Services of WMO member countries.
Following established practice, WMO’s global temperature analyses are based on three different datasets. These include the annual optimally averaged global and hemispheric data series, maintained by the Hadley Centre of the Met Office, UK, from which the official rankings are sourced. The other two data sets are the combined dataset maintained by the Hadley Centre of the Met Office, UK, and the Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia, UK, from which the latest values are derived, and a dataset maintained by the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Results from these two datasets are comparable.
More extensive, updated information will appear in the annual WMO statement on the status of the Global Climate in 2005, to be published in early March 2006.